Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.055177 0.059278 0.063547 0.068327 0.073535 0.079044 0.085319
2025-12-14 0.045104 0.050784 0.057031 0.064431 0.072986 0.082597 0.094258
2025-12-21 0.039203 0.045839 0.053468 0.062937 0.074439 0.088042 0.105470
2025-12-28 0.035889 0.043323 0.052199 0.063665 0.078208 0.096206 0.120424
2026-01-04 0.033192 0.041166 0.050999 0.064146 0.081464 0.103772 0.135138
2026-01-11 0.030556 0.038778 0.049200 0.063555 0.083095 0.109171 0.147297
2026-01-18 0.028484 0.036897 0.047829 0.063298 0.084994 0.114904 0.160263
2026-01-25 0.026413 0.034834 0.046015 0.062218 0.085557 0.118687 0.170620
2026-02-01 0.024378 0.032660 0.043868 0.060457 0.084929 0.120592 0.178204
2026-02-08 0.022674 0.030821 0.042042 0.058979 0.084529 0.122698 0.186150
2026-02-15 0.021219 0.029235 0.040459 0.057715 0.084299 0.124960 0.194431
2026-02-22 0.020368 0.028453 0.039966 0.058006 0.086412 0.130944 0.209263
2026-03-01 0.019008 0.026876 0.038248 0.056370 0.085466 0.132095 0.216270
2026-03-08 0.017570 0.025114 0.036164 0.054041 0.083254 0.131021 0.219341
2026-03-15 0.016618 0.024028 0.035037 0.053140 0.083288 0.133668 0.229286
2026-03-22 0.016140 0.023633 0.034940 0.053867 0.086057 0.141172 0.248894
2026-03-29 0.015632 0.023161 0.034690 0.054316 0.088368 0.148037 0.268005
2026-04-05 0.014959 0.022394 0.033926 0.053852 0.089040 0.151988 0.281812
2026-04-12 0.014391 0.021764 0.033343 0.053649 0.090143 0.156791 0.297810
2026-04-19 0.013722 0.020939 0.032400 0.052762 0.089936 0.159095 0.308847
2026-04-26 0.012986 0.019972 0.031177 0.051313 0.088587 0.159083 0.314925
2026-05-03 0.012343 0.019130 0.030120 0.050094 0.087580 0.159646 0.322286
2026-05-10 0.011773 0.018384 0.029190 0.049051 0.086828 0.160641 0.330687